How can Man City need to win Premier League? Title race permutations, what Pep Guardiola's team need to beat Arsenal and be champions

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Erling Haaland
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For the third time under Pep Guardiola and the fifth time overall, Manchester City head into the final day of the Premier League season with the title still up for grabs.

Arsenal's narrow victory over Manchester United ensured City could not win a record fourth consecutive top-flight crown until matchday 38.

Guardiola's men were not at their best but got the job done with a tense 2-0 win in their game in hand at Tottenham on Tuesday.

It means City are back on top heading into Sunday when themselves and Arsenal have the benefit of playing in front of their home fans against teams with relatively little left at stake.

No team in Premier League history has gone into a final-day showdown in the lead and ended it without the trophy in their grasp. Are City likely to keep that run going? The Sporting News runs through the permutations below.

MORE: Following Man City's final day clash with West Ham HERE

How can Man City win Premier League?

With one match left to play in their 2023/24 Premier League campaign, the title is City's to lose.

Erling Haaland's second-half brace and some heroics from substitute goalkeeper Stefan Ortega gave City a 2-0 win at Tottenham on Tuesday and a two-point advantage heading into the season's final game.

Arsenal had started the week on top thanks to their 1-0 win over Manchester United.

Premier League table 2023/24

*Standings correct as of Tuesday, May 14

PosTeamPointsMatches
Played
Goals
Scored
Goal
Difference
1.Manchester City883792+60
2.Arsenal863789+61
3.Liverpool783681+43

What do Man City need to happen to become Premier League champions in 2024?

The equation is now very simple. If City beat West Ham on the final day Guardiola's team will be champions for a record fourth successive season.

Anything less than victory over David Moyes' team and it will be time for nervous glances towards Emirates Stadium, where Arsenal host Everton.

If City fail to beat West Ham and Sunday's games end with Arsenal victorious against Everton the 20-year wait will be over and the Gunners will have a fourth Premier League title.

Even if City draw, an Arsenal victory would be enough for Arteta's team to claim the title on goal difference because they go into the final weekend one goal better off.

When is the Premier League final day 2023/2024?

The 2023/24 Premier League season concludes on Sunday, May 19. In the interest of fairness, all 10 matches kick off at the same time: 4 p.m. BST (11 a.m. ET).

The complete schedule for the 28th and final matchday of this season can be found here.

Premier League 2023/24 TV channels, live streams

RegionTVStreaming
AustraliaOptus Sport
Canada

Fubo Canada

IndiaStar SportsDisney+, Hotstar,
JioTV
UKSky Sports, TNT SportsNOW TV, Sky Go,
Amazon Prime, Discovery Plus
USAUSA Network,
Telemundo, Universo
Fubo, Peacock

UK: Matches are carried across Sky Sports and TNT Sports' streaming and TV platforms, with select matches on Amazon Prime. TNT Sports can be streamed via Discovery Plus.

USA: Select matches are televised on USA Network (English) and Telemundo or Universo (Spanish), and all three channels can be streamed on Fubo. The rest of the matches are streamed on NBC platform Peacock for subscribers.

Canada: Every Premier League game this season is live streamed exclusively via Fubo in Canada.

Australia: Fans in Australia can stream every match live and on-demand on Optus Sport.

India: Star Sports network has the rights to show Premier League matches in India. As well as an English broadcast on Star Sports Select, select matches will be available via regional feeds on Star Sports 3 (in Bengali, English, Kannada, Malayalam), Star Sports 1 (Bangla) and Star Sports 1 (Tamil).

Author(s)
Dom Farrell Photo

Dom is the senior content producer for Sporting News UK.