Super Bowl betting trends and historical odds

Steve Petrella

Super Bowl betting trends and historical odds image

Much of history in sports betting gets quickly outdated. But is there anything we can gather to help handicap Super Bowl 50 between the Broncos and Panthers?

Over the next two weeks, we'll compile some of the best Super Bowl trends to help you make your wagering decisions. Here are a few to start.

MORE: NFL live odds page | MVP odds

—The underdog is 11-4-1 ATS since 2000. Eight of those dogs have won outright, including the last five. The favorite has only won and NOT covered three times in the last 16 games, so the point spread has rarely mattered in recent Super Bowls.

—In the last 11 meetings between No. 1 seeds, the favorite is 8-3 ATS. 

—Favorites of fewer than 4.5 points are 4-6 ATS in last 30 years, and seven of those games have gone OVER.

—Favorites between 3 and 6.5 points are 12-6 ATS.

—Underdogs are 16-33 straight-up and 21-26-2 ATS all-time.

—There have been seven totals 45 or lower in last 30 years, and all seven have gone OVER.

—Teams that score 40-plus points in the playoffs are 5-25 ATS in their next game, per RJ Bell of Pregame.com.

Super Bowl historical odds

SBFinal ScoreLine (O/U)Result (O/U)AFC/NFC SU/ATS
XLIXNE 28, SEA 24SEA -1 (47.5)Dog (O)AFC SU & ATS
XLVIIISEA 43, DEN 8DEN -2 (47.5)Dog (O)NFC SU & ATS
XLVIIBAL 34, SF 31SF -4.5 (48)Dog (O)AFC SU & ATS
XLVINYG 21, NE 17NE -2.5 (53)Dog (U)NFC SU & ATS
XLVGB 31, PIT 25GB -3 (45)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XLIVNO 31, IND 17IND -5 (57)Dog (U)NFC SU & ATS
XLIIIPitt 27, AZ 23PIT -7 (46)Dog (O)AFC SU ONLY
XLIINYG 17, NE 14NE -12 (55)Dog (U)NFC SU & ATS
XLIIND 29, CHI 17IND -7 (47)Fav (U)AFC SU & ATS
XLPIT 21, SEA 10PIT -4 (47)Fav (U)AFC SU & ATS
XXIXNE 24, PHI 21NE -7 (46.5)Dog (U)AFC SU ONLY
XXXVIIINE 32, CAR 29NE -7 (37.5)Dog (O)AFC SU ONLY
XXXVIITB 48, OAK 21OAK -4 (44)Dog (O)NFC SU & ATS
XXXVINE 20, STL 17STL -14 (53)Dog (U)AFC SU & ATS
XXXVBAL 34, NYG 7BAL -3 (33)Fav (O)AFC SU & ATS
XXXIVSTL 23, TEN 16STL -7 (45)Push (U)NFC SU ONLY (P)
XXXIIIDEN 34, ATL 19DEN -7.5 (52.5)Fav (O)AFC SU & ATS
XXXIIDEN 31, GB 24GB -11 (49)Dog (O)AFC SU & ATS
XXXIGB 35, NE 21GB -14 (49)Push (O)NFC SU ONLY (P)
XXXDAL 27, PIT 17DAL -13.5 (51)Dog (U)NFC SU ONLY
XXIXSF 49, SD 26SF -18.5 (53.5)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XXVIIIDAL 30, BUF 13DAL -10.5 (50.5)Fav (U)NFC SU & ATS
XXVIIDAL 52, BUF 17DAL -6.5 (44.5)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XXVIWSH 37, BUF 24WAS -7 (49)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XXVNYG 20, BUF 19BUF -7 (40.5)Dog (U)NFC SU & ATS
XXIVSF 55, DEN 10SF -12 (48)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XXIIISF 20, CIN 16SF -7 (48)Dog (U)NFC SU ONLY
XXIIWSH 42, DEN 10DEN -3 (47)Dog (O)NFC SU & ATS
XXINYG 39, DEN 20NYG -9.5 (40)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XXCHI 46, NE 10CHI -10 (37.5)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XIXSF 38, MIA 16SF -3.5 (53.5)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
XVIIIL.A. 38, WSH 9WAS -3 (48)Fav (U)AFC SU & ATS
XVIIWSH 27, MIA 17MIA -3 (36.5)Dog (O)NFC SU & ATS
XVISF 26, CIN 21SF -1 (48)Fav (U)NFC SU & ATS
XVOAK 27, PHI 10PHI -3 (37.5)Dog (U)AFC SU & ATS
XIVPIT 31, LA 19PIT -10.5 (36)Fav (O)AFC SU & ATS
XIIIPIT 35, DAL 31PIT -3.5 (37)Fav (O)AFC SU & ATS
XIIDAL 27, DEN 10DAL -6 (39)Fav (U)NFC SU & ATS
XIOAK 34, MIN 14OAK -4 (38)Fav (O)AFC SU & ATS
XPIT 21, DAL 17PIT -7 (36)Dog (O)AFC SU ONLY
IXPIT 16, MIN 6PIT -3 (33)Fav (U)AFC SU & ATS
VIIIMIA 24, MIN 7MIA -6.5 (33)Fav (U)AFC SU & ATS
VIIMIA 14, WSH 7MIA -1 (33)Fav (U)AFC SU & ATS
VIDAL 24, MIA 3DAL -6 (34)Fav (U)NFC SU & ATS
VBAL 16, DAL 13BAL -2.5 (36)Fav (U)AFC SU & ATS
IVKC 23, MIN 7MIN -12 (39)Dog (U)AFC SU & ATS
IIINYJ 16, BAL 7BAL-18 (40)Dog (U)AFC SU & ATS
IIGB 33, OAK 14GB -13.5 (43)Fav (O)NFC SU & ATS
IGB 35, KC 10GB -14 (none)FavNFC SU & ATS

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Steve Petrella