Week 8 bowl projections: Georgia, Michigan lead midseason College Football Playoff picks

Bill Bender

Week 8 bowl projections: Georgia, Michigan lead midseason College Football Playoff picks image

The scramble for the College Football Playoff has reached the midway point. 

Sporting News' bowl projections are back, and our Week 8 playoff picks are a little different than the preseason prognostications. 

We are half right, so far. Georgia and Michigan remain No. 1 and No. 2, respectively, in the polls, and the Bulldogs and Wolverines might be on a collision course for a CFP championship matchup. 

Ohio State was another preseason pick, and the Buckeyes are still in position to challenge the Wolverines for the Big Ten championship game. We just are not sure there will be two Big Ten teams in the CFP again. Our other preseason pick – USC – took a hit when the Trojans lost 38-20 at Notre Dame in Week 7.

Who are our other teams? For now, we’ll go with Florida State – which beat LSU and Clemson in September and remains at the top of the ACC. Washington – which beat Oregon 36-33 in a Pac-12 thriller – is our pick to break a conference playoff drought that extends back to 2016. 

The College Football Playoff semifinals will be on Jan. 1, 2024. Those semifinals will be played at the Rose Bowl Game in Pasadena, Calif., and the Allstate Sugar Bowl in New Orleans. Those locations were the sites of the first four-team playoff in 2014. 

The College Football Playoff championship game is on Jan. 9 at NRG Stadium in Houston.

Colorado, which is sitting at 4-3 after a stunning loss to Stanford, projects out to 5-7 with a tough schedule down the stretch.

SN has projections for every bowl game here, and they will be updated each week for the remainder of the season:

MORE: CFB rankings from 1-133 | Week 8 picks for Top 25 games

Week 8 college football bowl predictions 

A look at Sporting News bowl projections heading into Week 8 of the 2023 college football season: 

DATEBOWLPROJECTED MATCHUP
Dec. 16HomeTown Lenders Bahamas BowlNorthern Illinois vs. New Mexico State
Dec. 16R&L Carriers New Orleans BowlWestern Kentucky vs. Troy
Dec. 16Cure BowlTulsa* vs. Texas State
Dec. 16New Mexico BowlLouisiana Tech vs. North Texas
Dec. 16LA BowlArizona vs. Fresno State
Dec. 16Radiance Technologies Independence BowlWest Virginia vs. Washington State
Dec. 18Myrtle Beach BowlSouth Florida vs. Georgia Southern
Dec. 19Frisco BowlArmy vs. UTSA
Dec. 21RoofClaim.com Boca Raton BowlLiberty vs. Georgia State
Dec. 22Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla BowlAuburn vs. Boston College
Dec. 23Birmingham BowlMississippi State vs. Virginia Tech
Dec. 23Camellia BowlOhio vs. South Alabama
Dec. 23Lockheed Martin Armed Forces BowlBYU vs. Navy
Dec. 23Famous Idaho Potato BowlEastern Michigan vs. Boise State
Dec. 2368 Ventures BowlToledo vs. Marshall
Dec. 23SRS Distribution Las Vegas BowlNebraska vs. UCLA
Dec. 23Easypost Hawai'i BowlMemphis vs. Wyoming
Dec. 26Quick Lane BowlMinnesota vs. Miami, Ohio
Dec. 26Servpro First Responder BowlTexas Tech vs. SMU
Dec. 26Guaranteed Rate BowlUNLV vs. Kansas
Dec. 27Military BowlGeorgia Tech vs. FAU
Dec. 27Duke's Mayo BowlLSU vs. Miami
Dec. 27TaxAct Texas BowlKansas State vs. Texas A&M
Dec. 28Fenway BowlNC State vs. Tulane
Dec. 28Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe BowlRutgers vs. Syracuse
Dec. 28San Diego County Credit Union Holiday BowlOregon State vs. Notre Dame
Dec. 28Pop-Tarts BowlIowa State vs. Duke
Dec. 28Valero Alamo BowlOklahoma State vs. USC
Dec. 29TaxSlayer Gator BowlKentucky vs. Clemson
Dec. 29Tony The Tiger Sun BowlUtah vs. Louisville
Dec. 29AutoZone Liberty BowlTennessee vs. TCU
Dec. 30Transperfect Music City BowlFlorida vs. Maryland
Dec. 30Barstool Arizona BowlCentral Michigan vs. Colorado State
Jan. 1Reliaquest BowlOle Miss vs. Wisconsin
Jan. 1Cheez-It Citrus BowlMissouri vs. Iowa

New Year's Day Six predictions 

A look at Sporting News' New Year's Day Six picks heading into Week 8 of the 2023 college football season: 

DATEBOWLPROJECTED MATCHUP
Dec. 29Goodyear Cotton Bowl ClassicOklahoma vs. Alabama
Dec. 30Chick-fil-A Peach BowlTexas vs. Ohio State
Dec. 30Capital One Orange BowlPenn State vs. North Carolina
Jan. 1Vrbo Fiesta BowlAir Force vs. Oregon

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic: Oklahoma vs. Alabama 

The Sooners are atop the Big 12 and rank fourth in the FBS with 45.2 points per game. Alabama is grinding out victories in the SEC West, but a second straight trip to AT&T Stadium could be in the works. This will be an infomercial for Oklahoma's arrival in the SEC in 2024. 

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: Texas vs. Ohio State 

The Buckeyes and Longhorns have not met since the 2009 Fiesta Bowl, an instant classic Texas won 24-21. This would be the most glamorous matchup of the New Year’s Day Six bowls (non-CFP edition), and Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers would be the center of attention given he spent his freshman season with the Buckeyes. 

Capital One Orange Bowl: Penn State vs. North Carolina 

This would be the Tar Heels' second trip to the Orange Bowl in four seasons and a nod to the job Mack Brown has done in his second stint. This might feel more like a consolation prize for the Nittany Lions, who are trying to break through in the Big Ten East. Still, a fun quarterback matchup between Drake Maye and Drew Allar. 

Vrbo Fiesta Bowl: Air Force vs. Oregon 

The Falcons are the highest-ranked Group of 5 school and lead the FBS with 334.2 rushing yards per game. The Ducks also have a top-10 rushing attack with 221.7 yards per game. The contrast in styles between Oregon and Air Force would be amazing in this matchup – which would need extra commercials. 

College Football Playoff predictions 

DATEBOWLPROJECTED MATCHUP
Jan. 1Rose Bowl Game (National semifinal)Michigan vs. Washington
Jan. 1Allstate Sugar Bowl (National semifinal)Georgia vs. Florida State

Rose Bowl Game: No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 Washington 

Washington averages 543.7 yards per game and features Heisman Trophy frontrunner Michael Penix Jr. Michigan allows 233.1 yards per game and would be making its third straight CFP appearance. This would be the fifth Rose Bowl matchup between the future Big Ten rivals, too. 

Sugar Bowl: No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Florida State 

The Bulldogs and Seminoles have not matched up since the 2003 Sugar Bowl, but this would be a fantastic ACC-SEC matchup at the Sugar Bowl. Florida State opened the season with a victory against SEC heavyweight LSU. Could they continue that run by knocking out No. 1? 

College Football Playoff championship pick 

DATEBOWLPROJECTED MATCHUP
Jan. 9CFP championship gameGeorgia vs. Michigan

CFP championship game (Houston): Georgia vs. Michigan 

A rematch of the 2021 College Football Playoff semifinal which the Bulldogs won 34-11. There is still the second half of the season, but the two-time defending national champion Bulldogs would get a better shot from the Wolverines this time around. This would be a fitting end to the four-team College Football Playoff era.

Bill Bender

Bill Bender graduated from Ohio University in 2002 and started at The Sporting News as a fantasy football writer in 2007. He has covered the College Football Playoff, NBA Finals and World Series for SN. Bender enjoys story-telling, awesomely-bad 80s movies and coaching youth sports.