Billy Napier entered Year 3 at Florida with the heat squarely on him. After the Gators stumbled to a 1–2 start, many believed Napier was on borrowed time. But by season’s end, Florida had finished 8–5 — a result that exceeded early projections and gave Napier another shot.
Eight wins were enough to cool his seat, at least temporarily. But with another brutal schedule looming in 2025, Napier’s job security remains precarious. A rocky start could turn up the pressure all over again.
The expectations have shifted dramatically in just a year. What began last season filled with doubt and lowered hopes has now turned into one fueled by renewed belief. Many around Gainesville think Florida could return to national relevance this fall — but with that optimism comes added pressure.
"Now comes the hard part: leading the Gators to the College Football Playoff and back to the top of the SEC. Unfair expectation? Certainly. But this is Florida, where statues of Tim Tebow and Steve Spurrier loom over every triumph and failure, silently judging anything less than perfection. It's Year 4 for Napier, and a 19-19 record entering the season isn't up to standard. The seat is still hot -- and he knows it," CBS Sports’ Brandon Marcello wrote.
At Florida, not contending for SEC and national titles simply isn’t acceptable. The program boasts 12 combined championships between the two, and coaches with better records than Napier have been fired faster.
Napier’s next task: leading Florida to the College Football Playoff for the first time since its creation in 2014. The expanded 12-team format increases the chances, but with a deep SEC and an unforgiving schedule, the challenge remains steep.
"I've got Florida as better this year," college football analyst Josh Pate said. "I know a lot of this is about their schedule... Trust me, I think they play the toughest schedule in the country this year."
Pate pointed to freshman quarterback D.J. Lagway as a major reason for optimism but stressed the Gators are far from a one-man show. He praised their offensive line, run game, and what he called a potentially “high-level, versatile” defense.
"I just think they're a really good team, man. So, I'm going to go eight wins or better for them this year. I think Florida will be better," Pate added.
Eight wins might not be enough to earn a playoff spot. Could nine be the magic number? The schedule may work in Florida’s favor — if the CFP committee agrees.
Either way, Florida enters 2025 as one of the nation’s most intriguing teams, with Napier's job potentially on the line every week.