Gonzaga at St. Mary's
11 p.m. ET, ESPNU
Line: St. Mary's -4 Total: 137.5
MORE: College hoops live odds | ATS standings | Oddsmakers' power ratings
Trends: Gonzaga 14-4 SU, 5-11-1 ATS, 8-9 O/U. St. Mary's 15-2 SU, 12-2 SU, 6-8 O/U
KenPom efficiency ratings: Gonzaga 38 (overall), 41 (offense), 54 (defense). St. Mary's 17, 6, 72
Effective FG percentage: Gonzaga 54.8, St. Mary's 62.6 EFG% against: Gonzaga 44.0, St. Mary's 44.1
Analysis: These teams appear to be dead even based on the line (St. Mary's gets 3-4 for being at home). Gonzaga has been a disappointment at 5-11-1 ATS, while St. Mary's has been unstoppable at 12-2 vs. the number, the Gaels have dropped their last two ATS.
Gonzaga has dominated this west-coast rivalry in recent years, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Seven straight meetings have gone UNDER, as well. We like this game to stay low (given these team's offensive fire power, one would expect a higher total) and go UNDER, and will lean with the Zags at +4 or +4.5, as well.
More Thursday hoops: OSU-Purdue | UK-Arkansas | Memphis-Cincy
MORE: College hoops live scoreboard | Gonzaga-St. Mary's stats and trends
Join our FREE NFL Playoffs contest on Gamblino for a chance to win a VIP stay for 4 at the Westgate Las Vegas Hotel & Casino. Prize package includes VIP SuperBook seating, a foursome at Las Vegas Country Club & more!