The first finalist of the 2025 UEFA Nations League will be decided at the Allianz Arena in Munich on Wednesday, while another of the main contenders for the title will be left behind.
Julian Nagelsmann's revamped Germany will face Portugal, with Cristiano Ronaldo as captain and accompanied by a new generation of stars.
In the event of a draw in 90 minutes of regular time, extra time will be required, and if the score remains tied, the winner will be decided by a penalty shootout.
Germany have an ideal opportunity. They qualified for the final phase of this competition for the first time and will have the advantage of playing in front of their own fans in their quest to win another international title, something they have not achieved since the 2017 Confederations Cup.
Without the injured Jamal Musiala, Antonio Rudiger, Niko Schlotterbeck and Tim Kleindienst, the return of Marc-Andre ter Stegen and the presence of Florian Wirtz, Leroy Sane and Niclas Fullkrug stand out.
For Portugal, Roberto Martínez has managed to form a team that doesn't rely on CR7. Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, Ruben Dias, Vitinha, and Rafael Leao are the new stars of a Portuguese national team that will also feature 18-year-old Porto winger Rodrigo Mora.
Although they have not beaten Germany in official matches for a quarter of a century, the Portuguese will hope to pull off a shock against the home side and take a key step in their quest for their second Nations League title.
Home advantage seems to have swayed the bookmakers on this one, with Germany the favourite for this semi-final at 5/6 with Sky Bet in 90 minutes and 2/5 (Bet365) to qualify via any method.
A Portugal win pays 29/10 and 7/4, while a draw pays 5/2 with Sky Bet.
The Sporting News has all the best predictions and tips to help you bet and make the match even more exciting.
Germany vs. Portugal — betting tips, prediction and bet builder
Both teams to score: 4/6 (Spreadex)
Germany reached the semi-finals as the highest-scoring team in the group stage (18), coming off a 4-3 aggregate win against Italy, and in the current edition (still unbeaten) they scored five goals against Hungary and seven against Bosnia. Furthermore, this pick has occurred in five of their last seven Nations League matches. Meanwhile, Portugal have done so in six of their last eight matches, beating Denmark 5-3. In a match-up packed with attacking figures, goals are expected to be on the cards at both ends.
Cristiano Ronaldo to score anytime: 7/4 (Bet365)
At 40 years old, the all-time leading scorer in world football, ahead of Lionel Messi, wants to lift another title at the end of his career. Cristiano Ronaldo didn't have the best season at Al-Nassr, but he scored 33 goals in 39 matches and reached 800 at club level. With the Portuguese national team, he has accumulated 136 goals in 219 matches and in the current Nations League has shown he has more to give: six goals in six games. With his winning mentality, he is in a position to score against Germany, which makes these odds an option to consider.
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Germany vs. Portugal predicted score and most likely results
Here are the most likely results for this play-off clash, according to Spreadex.
| Result | Odds* |
|---|---|
| Draw 1-1 | 6/1 |
| Germany Win 1-0 | 7/1 |
| Germany Win 2-1 | 7/1 |
| Germany Win 2-0 | 17/2 |
| Draw 0-0 | 10/1 |
| Draw 2-2 | 11/1 |
*Odds are correct at time of publish but are subject to change as we get closer to kick-off.
How to watch Germany vs. Portugal
- Date: Wednesday, June 4
- Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich
- Time: 8 p.m. BST
- TV/Streaming: Amazon Prime
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