The first semi-final at Women's Euro 2025 sees reigning champions England take on Italy, making their first appearance at this stage of the tournament since 1997.
On the way to winning the Euros three years ago, the Lionesses dispatched Sweden 4-0. However, it was far from plain-sailing this time around. Sarina Wiegman's side came from two goals down before winning 3-2 on penalties, despite missing four of their seven from the spot.
England's next opponents will be Italy, who edged past a Norway side who reached the knockout stages with a 100 per cent record after wins over Switzerland, Finland and Iceland.
Can England make it to back-to-back finals? Here's our predictions, tips and bet builder suggestions.
England vs. Italy Women Euro 2025 prediction
England are expected to beat Italy inside 90 minutes and reach the final of the Women's Euros, despite Italy shading the head-to-head 14-12 (six draws).
Paddy Power are favouring Wiegman’s side to win at 4/7, with an almost 64% implied chance of victory, while Italy are back at 9/2 and the draw is 3/1.
The most recent meeting between the two sides was a thumping 5-1 win for England last year featuring a brace for Lauren Hemp and a second-half strike for Ella Toone — both expected to be part of Wiegman’s attacking three behind Alessia Russo on Tuesday night.
The Sporting News' Score Prediction: England 2-1 Italy
- England's Lionesses are rated 63.6% likely to beat Italy inside 90 minutes according to the latest odds on Paddy Power
- You can get £30 in free multiples when you place just a £10 bet on England vs Italy through the Betfair sportsbook
- Learn more about reading odds, different types of bets and the best online betting sites through our how to bet on football guide
England vs. Italy predicted lineups
England are optimistic that captain Leah Williamson will be fit to play despite coming off in the last match against Sweden with an ankle injury.
England predicted lineup (4-2-3-1, right to left)
Hampton (GK) — Bronze, Williamson, Greenwood, Charles — Walsh, Stanway — James, Toone, Hemp — Russo
Injured: Williamson (ankle, doubt), Bronze (hamstring, doubt), James (knock, doubt)
Suspended: None
Italy predicted lineup (4-3-3, right to left)
Giuliani (GK) — Oliviero, Salvai, Linari, Di Guglielmo — Caruso, Giugliano, Severini — Cantore, Girelli, Bonansea
Injured: None
Suspended: None
England vs. Italy Women latest odds, correct score betting
England are the big favourites to win this semi-final clash with the bookmakers, with Italy given just a 17% chance of winning in normal time at best odds of 5/1 (AK Bets).
Our score prediction is for England to 2-1 (9/2 on Bet365) but here's the best odds available from our selected partners for some of the likeliest results for this match.
| Result (90 mins) | Odds | Bet With |
| England 1-0 | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Draw 1-1 | 7/1 | AK Bets |
| England 2-0 | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| England 2-1 | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| England 3-0 | 11/1 | AK Bets |
Back your correct score pick with Bet365 for £30 in free bets from a £10 stake
England vs. Italy Women team news
- The Lionesses have some injury concerns following their arduous quarter-final. Captain Leah Williamson (ankle), Lucy Bronze (hamstring tightness), and Lauren James (knock) all suffered damage of some sort against Sweden. There is optimism surrounding their fitness, though, with the full squad having trained on Monday.
- Changes in defence could see Esme Morgan or Niamh Charles feature if Williamson is unavailable, or if Wiegman opts for a reshuffle.
- Italy have no reported injury concerns or suspensions. Their strength lies in the midfield with the technical ability and movement of Manuela Giugliano and Arianna Caruso, and the clinical finishing of Cristiana Girelli, who is among the tournament's leading scorers.
- Italy have shown the ability to switch between a 3-4-3 with wingbacks or a 4-3-3 with wide forwards.
England vs. Italy Women Bet Builder tips
Our bet builder tip for England vs. Italy Women is Alessia Russo to score anytime and
Cristiana Girelli to have over 1.5 shots — you can back that at 5/1 on bet365.
Russo has an xG of 2.8 in her last three games at the Euros despite only registering one
goal so far in the competition (12 shots).
Meanwhile, Juventus' Girelli is Italy's focal point in attack and has scored three goals (99
mins per goal) from 10 shots across four matches.
How to watch England vs. Italy: Live stream, TV channel
Here's how to watch this Euro 2025 semi-final:
- Date: Tuesday, July 22
- Venue: Stade de Geneve, Lancy, Switzerland
- Time: 8 p.m. BST
- TV/Stream: ITV, ITVX
England vs Italy Women head-to-head
This will mark the 33rd clash between England and Italy in women’s football and their fifth
meeting at the European Championship.
Although England boast an impressive recent record against Italy in friendly matches,
remaining unbeaten in their last five with a notable 5-1 triumph in February 2024, Italy have the upper hand in competitive Euros matches.
The Italians have won all four prior tournament encounters, including a 2-1 victory in the
2009 group stage and a 6-2 aggregate success in the 1993 quarter-finals.
Who are the favourites to win Euro 2025?
Spain are the big favourites with the bookmakers to win Euro 2025 at a best price of 4/6 on AK Bets.
They have scored 16 times in their four matches so far, including four for tournament top goalscorer Esther Gonzalez and three for two-time Ballon d'Or winner Alexia Putellas.
When is the Euro 2025 final?
The final of the 2025 Women's Euros will take place at St. Jakob-Park, Basel at 5 p.m. BST on Sunday, July 27.
It will feature England or Italy vs. Germany or Spain.
Spain are the big favourites but Germany had won the tournament six times in a row before the Netherlands prevailed in 2017 — England are the holders after beating Germany after extra time in the 2022 final.