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India vs. England 3rd Test predictions: Betting odds, tips and who will win Lord's showdown

Xaviour Raymond

India vs. England 3rd Test predictions: Betting odds, tips and who will win Lord's showdown image

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The high-stakes Anderson-Tendulkar Trophy series shifts to the iconic Lord’s Cricket Ground in London as Shubman Gill-led India face Ben Stokes' England in the third Test, starting Thursday, July 10.

The third Test of the Anderson-Tendulkar Trophy at Lord’s is finely started after a tense opening day that saw England reach 251/4 at stumps. With Joe Root approaching yet another century and Ben Stokes holding firm, the hosts will be eyeing a first-innings total in excess of 400 on a slow, grinding pitch.

For India, the pressure is mounting as their pace attack led by Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Siraj, and Akash Deep struggled to make an impact, with all-rounder Nitish Kumar Reddy emerging as the unlikely standout.

England's measured approach, a far cry from their usual Bazball aggression, suggests a strategic shift aimed at wearing down the visitors.

Who has the edge? Here's a breakdown of the latest betting odds, expert tips, and predictions for the crucial Lord’s showdown.

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IND vs. ENG 3rd Test predictions and tips

The return of Jasprit Bumrah is a massive boost for India, adding firepower to a bowling attack that was already dominant in Birmingham. On the batting front, expect Yashasvi Jaiswal and KL Rahul to open, with Shubman Gill, fresh off a magnificent century, continuing his leadership and red-hot form at No. 3.

For England, changes are inevitable after a toothless showing with the ball. They’ve added Jofra Archer and Gus Atkinson to the squad, both likely to start in place of Josh Tongue and Shoaib Bashir.

Chris Woakes is expected to retain his spot thanks to his stellar record at Lord’s, where he averages under 13 with the ball. With the surface likely to offer more for seamers, spinners are expected to sit out, making a four-pronged pace attack a strong possibility.

3rd Test: TSN's Predictions — Xaviour Raymond

  • Top India Batter: Yashasvi Jaiswal — With attacking starts and a good record in England so far, he’s a value pick.
  • Top England Bowler: Chris Woakes — His Lord’s record speaks for itself.
  • First-Innings Score Prediction (India): 320–370, depending on early movement.
     
  • Session Betting Tip: Back India to win the first session if they bat first — their top order has looked far more solid than England’s.

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IND vs. ENG who will win? Favourites and latest live betting odds for 3rd Test

According to Dafabet, England are favourites priced at 1.41 to win, while India are the underdogs at 2.93 despite their dominant showing in Edgbaston.

The odds reflect the hosts’ historical edge at Lord’s and the expected pitch conditions favouring their pace-heavy attack. 

PITCH REPORT: Full pitch report and historic records for Lord's as England host India

With Jasprit Bumrah returning and India’s batting lineup in red-hot form, the visitors present strong value for those backing an upset at the 'Home of Cricket'.

 

Odds*

England

1.41

India

2.93

*Odds correct at time of publish

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IND vs. ENG 3rd Test betting: Best offers and bonuses for betting online with trusted Indian sites

The third Test of the India vs England 2025 series at Lord's promises high drama, and fans can elevate the thrill by exploring top betting offers from trusted Indian sportsbooks.

Many top betting platforms, including Parimatch and others, are offering boosted odds, free bets, and deposit bonuses for new users ahead of this marquee clash. There’s plenty of incentive to get involved whether you're backing the home side or expecting a bold Indian upset.

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And remember, always gamble responsibly.

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IND vs. ENG, who AI says will win the 3rd Test?

We've made our predictions here at TSN but we also asked some of the leading AI platforms who will win the third Test between India and England.

ChatGPT (OpenAI) Prediction

India are riding high after a commanding 336-run win at Edgbaston and will be further bolstered by the return of Jasprit Bumrah. Their batting looks far more settled than England’s.

Given England’s bowling shake-up and reliance on conditions, ChatGPT tips India as slight favourites especially if they bat first and survive the new ball.

  • Predicted Winner: India (55% chance)
  • Key Players: Bumrah, Jaiswal, Woakes

Grok (xAI) Prediction

Grok highlights England’s strong home record and their ability to bounce back quickly, especially at Lord’s. However, it also flags concerns over England's fragile middle order and over-dependence on conditions. Grok believes the toss will play a major role. If England bowl first on a green top, they could dominate.

  • Predicted Winner: England (52% chance)
  • Conditional Verdict: If England bowl first, advantage hosts.

Gemini (Google) Prediction

Gemini leans toward India based on current form and individual brilliance. It notes that India’s top order is in much better rhythm and the inclusion of Bumrah gives their attack more edge. England’s inconsistency and bowling rejig could hurt them.

  • Predicted Winner: India (60% confidence)
  • Edge Factors: Stability in Indian lineup, Bumrah’s return, poor England bowling form

Xaviour Raymond

Xaviour Raymond leads The Sporting News' betting content in India and is a content writer with a Master’s in Mass Communication and over two years of experience working with various firms. A passionate sports enthusiast, he focuses on football and cricket content tailored for Indian fans with a sharp eye on detail and opportunities for betting value.