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Who is favorite for UEFA Nations League final? Portugal vs. Spain expert football betting tips, predictions, odds

Abhinav Sharma

Hector Salerno

Who is favorite for UEFA Nations League final? Portugal vs. Spain expert football betting tips, predictions, odds image

The curtain comes down on the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League with a mouth-watering final between two European heavyweights, with Portugal and Spain set to battle it out for the crown at Munich’s iconic Allianz Arena.

With both sides having knocked out elite opposition in the semi-finals, this clash promises fireworks and a fitting finale.

Portugal arrive in high spirits after toppling tournament hosts Germany, earning their first win over Die Mannschaft in 25 years. Under Roberto Martinez, they have evolved beyond their historic reliance on Cristiano Ronaldo.

The new-look Portugal squad features a dynamic mix of experience and flair, with Bruno Fernandes, Bernardo Silva, Ruben Dias, Vitinha, and rising star Francisco Conceicao all stepping into the spotlight. With just one defeat in their last nine outings, Portugal's confidence is sky-high.

On the other side, Luis de la Fuente's youthful Spanish squad has grown up fast. Unbeaten in the competition, La Roja edged past the Netherlands before stunning World Cup runners-up France in a 5-4 thriller.

Talents like Lamine Yamal, Pedri and Nico Williams, each of whom found the net against Les Bleus, are combining seamlessly with veterans like Unai Simon and Mikel Merino. This blend of youth and experience has Spain on the brink of another continental triumph.

Dafabet have Spain as the big favorite for this final at 1.91 in 90 minutes. A Portugal win rises big to 3.95 to 1 and pays 17.00 if they win in extra time (14.00 on penalties), while a regular-time draw is priced at 3.80.

The Sporting News presents our predictions and tips to help you bet and make the match even more exciting.

Portugal vs. Spain prediction, tips, bet builder and odds for Nations League final

All odds correct at time of publish but subject to change as we get closer to kick off.

Spain to Score First – Odds: 1.65 (Dafabet)

Who can stop Spain right now? That's the question echoing across Europe. Not even France — with Mbappe and Dembele in full flight — managed to hold them off. Under Luis de la Fuente, La Roja have developed a habit of striking early, wasting little time asserting their dominance, no matter the opposition.

They’ve hit the opening goal in nine of their last 10 outings, and in five of their six most recent matches, they’ve found the net inside the first 30 minutes: Laporte scored in the fifth minute against Serbia, Oyarzabal struck in the 15th versus Denmark, and both he and Nico Williams were on the scoresheet within 10 minutes in the Netherlands clash.

Against France, Nico broke through in the 22nd. Even when they missed the cut-off by a whisker, it was Pino scoring in the 32nd minute against Switzerland. Portugal, meanwhile, have conceded first in two of their last three, including in their semi-final against Germany. All signs point to another lightning-fast Spanish start.

Total Over 2.5+ Goals – Odds: 1.68 (Roobet)

With an average of 2.8 goals per game in Portugal and Spain's recent head-to-head matchups, a bet on over 2.5 goals could be a sensible and juicy option.

Both Teams to Score 2+ Goals – Odds: 1.62 (Roobet)

From teenage phenom Lamine Yamal to the evergreen Cristiano Ronaldo, this final is packed with firepower, and the potential for goals galore. A bet on both sides scoring at least twice may look bold, but the stats back it up.

Spain have been involved in some absolute thrillers in the Nations League. Seven of their last eight games would’ve cashed this ticket: a 4-1 and 3-2 against Switzerland, a 3-2 versus Serbia, a 2-1 win over Denmark, and a pair of goal-filled draws, 2-2 and 3-3, against the Netherlands, not to mention that unforgettable 5-4 against France.

Portugal aren't short on attacking options either. They've bagged two or more goals in six of their nine matches during this Nations League run, including two five-goal explosions against Poland and Denmark. With both teams packing a punch up front, and some leaky moments at the back.

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Portugal vs. Spain predicted score and most likely results

Here are the most likely results for this Nations League final, according to Dafabet

ResultOdds
Draw 1-16.80
Spain 2-17.30
Spain 1-08.10
Spain 2-010.00
Draw 2-211.00
Portugal 2-111.00
Portugal 1-012.00
Spain 3-113.00

Portugal vs. Spain: Live stream, TV channel and how to watch in India

RegionDateKickoff TimeTVStreaming
IndiaMon, Jun. 912:30 a.m. IST —

Unfortunately this game is not currently scheduled for broadcast in India, but that may change as we get closer to kick-off.

Abhinav Sharma

Abhinav Sharma is a sub-editor for the content team at The Sporting News. Based in Agra, India, he holds a bachelor's degree in commerce from Delhi University.

An avid NFL and soccer enthusiast, Abhinav spends his free time watching and playing football. Before joining TSN in May 2024, he contributed to publications such as SB Nation (Coming Home Newcastle), The Hard Tackle, Football Express, and Premier League NewsNow.

 

Hector Salerno

Modelo 89, papeles al día. Periodista especializado en deportes desde 2013. Productor de contenidos freelance para The Sporting News. Fútbol, pronósticos y más. Intento de arquero y de los de antes: nada de salir jugando, siempre pelotazo largo.