At Arena Corinthians, all eyes will be on Carlo Ancelotti as he chases his first win at the helm of Brazil in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers.
Standing in their way is a confident Paraguay side riding high after a morale-boosting 2-0 victory over Uruguay, a result that propelled them into third place and firmly into the mix for direct qualification.
For Brazil, the message is clear — it's time to start turning performances into points. Ancelotti's debut ended in a goalless draw against Ecuador in Guayaquil, and the pressure is on the Selecao to deliver in front of a home crowd.
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A win would leapfrog them over Paraguay and inject fresh momentum into their qualifying campaign. One bright spot: Barcelona winger Raphinha is back in the squad after serving a one-match ban for yellow card accumulation.
Meanwhile, Paraguay is buzzing with belief. Under Gustavo Alfaro's leadership, La Albirroja is unbeaten in their last eight qualifiers and playing with the kind of conviction that's been missing in recent years. After sitting out the last three World Cups, Paraguay now stands on the cusp of redemption, and this clash in São Paulo could be another step toward ending that long wait.
As for the odds, Melbet sees Brazil as clear favorites at 1.416. A Paraguay upset would pay out handsomely at 8.3, while a draw is priced at 4.4.
The Sporting News presents bets, predictions and picks to bet on this match and make the action even more exciting.
Brazil vs. Paraguay prediction, tips, bet builder and odds for World Cup Qualifying clash
Raphinha to Score Anytime: 2.88 (Melbet)
Brazil certainly felt Raphinha's absence in the goalless draw against Ecuador. Despite the presence of stars like Vinícius Jr., Richarlison, and rising talent Estevao, it's clear the Barcelona winger has become a linchpin in the Selecao's attack, much like he has for his club. Coming off a red-hot season with 34 goals in 57 games and an impressive Champions League stat line of 13 goals in 14 appearances, Raphinha enters this clash as Brazil's leading scorer in the qualifiers with five goals, just one shy of Messi (Argentina) and Luis Diaz (Colombia). Now well-rested after serving his suspension, he’s poised to make an impact, and this bet looks like a smart punt.
Brazil to score first: 1.88 to 1 (Roobet)
At first glance, backing Brazil to take the lead might seem risky, especially considering Paraguay's solid run under Gustavo Alfaro. But history tells a different story. Brazil has a habit of striking first in this fixture — they've opened the scoring in each of their recent meetings with La Albirroja, and notably, both of their last two home qualifiers against Paraguay ended 1-0 by halftime. The odds reflect the balance, but the trend gives Brazil the edge heading into the interval.
Brazil vs. Paraguay predicted score and most likely results
Here's some of the most likely results for this World Cup qualifying match-up, according to Melbet. Odds are correct with all the firms listed at the time of publish, but are subject to change.
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brazil 1-0 | 5.5 |
| Brazil 2-0 | 5.5 |
| Draw 1-1 | 8.0 |
| Brazil 2-1 | 8.5 |
| Draw 0-0 | 9.6 |
| Paraguay 1-0 | 15.0 |
How to watch Brazil vs. Paraguay in World Cup Qualifying action
- Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
- Venue: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
- Time: 6:15 a.m. IST
- TV/Streaming: This match is not currently available to watch live in India.