The 2025 Wimbledon men's singles final will deliver some deja vu to tennis fans and bettors, as world No. 1 Jannik Sinner and back-to-back defending Wimbledon champ Carlos Alcaraz will face off in a rematch of the Roland Garros final.
The winner of the grand slam tournament will receive £3,000,000, while the runner-up will walk away with £1,520,000.
Let's take a look at the odds and then make our predictions and best bets, courtesy of The Sporting News' experts.
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Wimbledon men's singles final 2025 betting odds and predictions — Sloan Piva
Alcaraz took care of business in the semi-finals on Friday, defeating fifth-seeded American Taylor Fritz in four sets. The Spaniard staved off Fritz's tiebreaker attempt, successfully notching his 20th consecutive Wimbledon win.
Now, Alcaraz will set his sights on the first three-peat at the grand slam event since Novak Djokovic (the runner-up in each of the past two Wimbledons).
Speaking of Djoker, Sinner took down the seven-time Wimbledon champ in the semi-finals. Sinner, the world No. 1 and 2025 Australian Open winner, has never won a Wimbledon final. Then again, he never even made it past the semis before this year. Will this be the year that the Italian gets over the Wimbledon hump?
One thing's for sure: the legend of the Alcaraz-Sinner rivalry will continue to grow. Alcaraz currently leads the all-time head-to-head matchup 8-4, and together they represent the last seven Grand Slam titles (Alcaraz has five, Sinner has two). The Spaniard most recently beat the Italian 4–6, 6–7(4–7), 6–4, 7–6(7–3), 7–6 in the longest French Open final of all time. Are you excited yet?
All outright odds courtesy of Melbet unless otherwise stated and correct at time of publish.
- Win market: Carlos Alcaraz: 1.85 | Jannik Sinner: 1.95
Set betting: Alcaraz 3-1: 4.1 | Alcaraz 3-2: 4.7 | Alcaraz 3-0: 5.8 | Sinner 3-1: 4.2 | Sinner 3-2: 5.2 | Sinner 3-0: 5.5
Total sets: OVER 3.5: 1.42 | UNDER 3.5: 2.65 | OVER 4.5: 2.8 | UNDER 4.5: 1.38
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Wimbledon men's singles final 2025 best bet to win
Carlos Alcaraz (1.85)
There's a reason Alcaraz has won five major titles before turning 23 years old. The man might just be growing into the greatest active player in front of our eyes, and he's easily the most dominant on grass since Djokovic. He's the best bet to win this tournament, short odds be damned.
Sinner has been stellar this season — but like we said in our successful French Open preview a while back, every superhero has his Kryptonite. Sinner's Kryptonite: Alcaraz. The Spaniard leads the all-time matchup 8-4, and 3-1 in grand slams.
Alcaraz also continues to look much more effortless on grass than Sinner. Remember, this is the first time Sinner has ever made the final round at Wimbledon, while the Spaniard has won each of the past two finals at Centre Court.
The strong serves and power strokes we have seen from Alcaraz make him the man to beat. Even with an occasional hiccup vs. Fritz in the semi-finals, he always bailed himself out with big-time serves and clutch shots.
It's not out of the realm of possibilities for Sinner, who is a truly elite player in his own right. However, given the head-to-head history and the reigning back-to-back champ's track record on this court, we're not moving away from Alcaraz for any price.
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Wimbledon men's singles final 2025 best value bet
Exact total 5 sets (2.95, Dafabet)
As mentioned earlier, the last time we saw Alcaraz and Sinner duel, they battled for as long as we've ever seen in a French Open men's final (5 hours, 29 minutes). It was a marathon that would make Djoker and Federer and their longest-ever Wimbledon men's final blush (that match was only 4 hours, 57 minutes!).
So, consider that epic battle, and the fact that Sinner will be trying to break the 2025 grand slam stalemate between Alcaraz and Sinner. Then, ask yourself if the OVER is a value bet.
It sure seems like a value. Sinner seems to have finally grown some confidence on this surface, and Alcaraz has let opponents back into matches lately — even when his serve game has been dominant.
Granted, it's difficult to see Sinner taking this match. He still makes more mistakes on grass than Alcaraz, and he should have more trouble on receive than his Spanish counterpart. However, it should make for one heck of a show, and it's easy to see it reaching a fifth set.
What time is men's Wimbledon singles final and how to watch
The 2025 men's Wimbledon singles final between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner starts at 8:30 p.m. IST on Sunday, July 13.
The action from Centre Court is live on Star Sports Network.