If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation. Learn more >

State of Origin tips: Betting preview, odds and predictions for Game 2

Joshua Mayne

Tom Naghten

Mark Molyneux

Tobey Lewis

State of Origin tips: Betting preview, odds and predictions for Game 2 image

State of Origin has arrived in Perth for Game 2.

After being outplayed on home turf in the opener, this is a do-or-die clash for Queensland.

New South Wales, on the other hand, can lock the series up with a win at Optus Stadium.

Could we be heading for a decider, or will the Blues get to enjoy a victory lap in Sydney?

MORE: What happened the last time Origin was played in Perth?

Below are The Sporting News' predictions and best bets for Game II – all odds per bookmaker Sportsbet.

Blues to bowl Queensland over in the wet

- Tom Naghten

State of Origin heads to Optus Stadium for the third time.

Back in 2019, the Maroons turned up for Game 2 in Perth one-nil up, but a roaming Tom Trbojevic ran riot in wet conditions, scoring a hat-trick in a 38-6 Blues win to help them on the way to a series victory.

Rain is again forecast on Wednesday and could make for some tricky conditions on the usually hard and fast Optus Stadium track.

As they did in Game 1, we expect the Blues forwards to dominate through the middle, giving the halves and outside backs plenty of chances in good field position.

Latrell Mitchell was well held by debutant Robert Toia in Brisbane, but don't be surprised to see the Souths star look to emulate Turbo's efforts in 2019 and make a nuisance of himself across the park.

BEST BET: NSW 13+ ($2.60)

VALUE BET: Latrell Mitchell 2 or more tries ($5.90)

SAME GAME MULTI: NSW H2H / Latrell Mitchell anytime tryscorer / Liam Martin anytime tryscorer ($11.75)


Cleary to strike late as Blues claim series win

- Joshua Mayne

History tells us there should be plenty of tries in this one.

A total of 100 points have been scored in the previous two meetings in Perth, with NSW coming out on top in dominant fashion on both occasions.

Seven of the last 10 Game 2s have also gone over the total match points line, per Sportsbet.

However, rain is forecast for Wednesday, which could mean it's not as free-flowing as expected.

The Blues showcased how defensively sound they are in the opener, and they won't need to take too many risks with a 1-0 series lead. 

Keep an eye on NSW star Nathan Cleary, who has former Penrith teammate Jarome Luai back alongside him in the halves.

In a potentially tight contest, he could break the game open late with a signature dummy, run and try under the posts.

BEST BET: Under 41.5 points ($1.89)

VALUE BET: Nathan Cleary first or last tryscorer ($11.50)

SAME GAME MULTI: NSW 1-12 / Nathan Cleary anytime tryscorer / NSW to score last ($14.75)


QLD to improve in attack ... but it won't be enough

- Mark Molyneux

Billy Slater has essentially ripped it all up and started again ahead of QLD’s trip over to the west.

The Maroons have struggled in attack, scoring just four tries in their last four matches.

Daly Cherry-Evans has paid the ultimate price for this lack of cutting edge, with Tom Dearden handed the No.7 jersey after keeping the No.6 jersey warm last year in Cameron Munster’s absence.

Can the two run-first playmakers combine to get the state out of an attacking rut, or will it be more of the same?

Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow has also been a part of the shuffled deck in the backline after being moved from out of the centres and onto the wing.

The speedster has scored nine tries in eight appearances for the Maroons and will want to open his account in this series after being kept quiet in the opener.

Dearden and Munster favour putting together raids down the left edge, so the 'Hammer' could see plenty of ball this time around.

BEST BET: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow anytime tryscorer ($2.40)

VALUE BET: Zac Lomax Player of the Match ($23.00)

SAME GAME MULTI: NSW 13+ / Latrell Mitchell anytime tryscorer ($4.20)


Blues to stick to the Suncorp script in Perth

- Tobey Lewis

The script is as old as State of Origin itself; a counted out Queensland side rallies to take down a red-hot New South Wales outfit.

This is the narrative that's been brewing north of the border for the past three weeks and what makes this edition of the rivalry so compelling.

But what can we learn from Game 1 to help predict what might be in store for Game 2?

Yardage out of the backfield was the order of the day in Brisbane, so don't expect the Blues to stray from that path when they take the field on Wednesday night in Perth.

Dylan Edwards, Zac Lomax and Brian To'o will all be looking to help their big men out when their side has the football.

However, Billy Slater will have his players prepared for that challenge and place an emphasis on controlling the centre third of the field.

This is where Origin 2 will be won or lost for both teams.

BEST BET: NSW 1 to 12 ($2.80)

VALUE BET: QLD to lead at half time / NSW to lead at full time ($7.25)

SAME GAME MULTI: QLD race to 10 points / Zac Lomax anytime tryscorer ($4.75)

Joshua Mayne

Joshua Mayne is a content producer for The Sporting News currently based in Sydney, Australia. He has previously worked as a newsreader at 2SER and a journalist at Ministry of Sport. Joshua specialises in rugby league, motorsport and tennis. He is still waiting for Arsenal to win the Premier League again. 

 

Tom Naghten

Tom Naghten is a senior editor at The Sporting News Australia where he's been part of the team since 2017. He predominantly covers boxing and MMA. In his spare time, he likes to watch Robbie Ahmat's goal against the Kangaroos at the SCG in 2000.

Mark Molyneux

Mark Molyneux is a freelance writer covering the NRL and UFC for Sporting News Australia. He has previously worked in the music industry and as a teacher around the world.

Editorial Intern

Tobey Lewis

Tobey Lewis is a content producer for Sporting News Australia, specialising in rugby league and combat. In his spare time, he bemoans being the lone player from his high school rugby league team to not be an NRL star.